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Middle-term cosmic ray monitoring
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Cosmic ray count rate at Oulu station (Finland) in pulses per 5 minutes, averaged over 7776
points of 5-min values during each solar rotation - blue dotted curve, scale on the right for the
time interval starting from the 2409-2608 rotation. 27-day values of the CR fluctuation
parameter in relative units - solid red curve, scale on the left. 90% significance level is shown.
CR fluctuation parameter values exceeding the "cosmic noise" region (shown in green) are
harbingers of increased solar activity. The precursor of the beginning of the maximum of the
25th cycle - the one on the far right (shown by the vertical arrow - dotted red line) is registered
on the rotation № 2597. The subsequent "double" precursor is registered on rotations № 2602-
2603 in May-June 2024. On the contrary, a fairly low - diagnostic value of the CR fluctuation
parameter (the penultimate point in red, revolution № 2599, March 2024, as well as on the last
two revolutions 2607-2608), is defined as - a marker of the MAXIMUM of the new 25th cycle.
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